First-wave COVID-19 transmissibility and severity in China outside Hubei after control measures, and second-wave scenario planning: a modelling impact assessment – The Lancet

This is the peer-reviewed publication that is making the newspaper headlines that says a vaccine would be required before lockdown could be lifted. The current level of lockdown is not practical to maintain for that period of time, but it appears that the disruption to peoples daily lives will continue for some time to come.

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